{"id":24251,"date":"2026-09-16T04:31:28","date_gmt":"2026-09-16T04:31:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/?p=24251"},"modified":"2026-09-16T04:31:28","modified_gmt":"2026-09-16T04:31:28","slug":"daily-commentary-467","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.net\/vi\/daily-commentary-467-20260916\/","title":{"rendered":"XAU\/USD b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 quan tr\u1ecdng $4.280 tr\u01b0\u1edbc quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a Fed"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul style=\"color:#f40307\" class=\"wp-block-list has-text-color\">\n<li><strong>Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng nhanh ch\u00f3ng l\u1ea5y l\u1ea1i m\u1ed1c $4.300 v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 T\u01b0, l\u1eb7p l\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ee3t ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i phi\u00ean \u00c1 ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 Ba.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0110\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t trong hai tu\u1ea7n khi l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu kho b\u1ea1c gi\u1ea3m v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 ch\u00fa \u00fd chuy\u1ec3n sang Fed.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>V\u00e0ng b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 50 ng\u00e0y quan tr\u1ecdng \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,280, trong khi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 100 ng\u00e0y g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c $4,330 gi\u1edbi h\u1ea1n \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o RSI mang s\u1eafc th\u00e1i gi\u1ea3m.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng \u0111ang c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng b\u1ee9t ph\u00e1 tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i tr\u00ean m\u1ee9c $4.300 v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u phi\u00ean giao d\u1ecbch th\u1ee9 T\u01b0, l\u1eb7p l\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ee3t h\u1ed3i ph\u1ee5c nh\u1eb9 trong phi\u00ean giao d\u1ecbch ch\u00e2u \u00c1 h\u00f4m th\u1ee9 Ba. B\u01b0\u1edbc chuy\u1ec3n h\u01b0\u1edbng l\u1edbn ti\u1ebfp theo c\u1ee7a v\u00e0ng ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00e0 tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (Fed) s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 sau \u0111\u00f3 trong ng\u00e0y.<\/p>\n<p>Ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (Fed) s\u1ebd t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n th\u00eam 25 \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n (bps) l\u00ean m\u1ee9c 3,75%-4% v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 T\u01b0, trong khi c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 CME FedWatch cho th\u1ea5y x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i n\u00e0y v\u00e0o kho\u1ea3ng 92%.<\/p>\n<p>V\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf c\u1ee7a Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang (Fed) Kevin Warsh, tr\u1ecdng t\u00e2m s\u1ebd d\u1ed3n v\u00e0o c\u00e1c t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u c\u1ee7a Fed v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai, n\u1ed5i b\u1eadt l\u00e0 B\u1ea3n t\u00f3m t\u1eaft d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o kinh t\u1ebf (SEP), c\u00e1i g\u1ecdi l\u00e0 Bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 d\u1ea5u ch\u1ea5m (Dot Plot), v\u00e0 ng\u00f4n ng\u1eef c\u1ee7a tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch.<\/p>\n<p>Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, n\u1ebfu Warsh b\u00e0y t\u1ecf lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t dai d\u1eb3ng, \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0a ra nh\u1eefng g\u1ee3i \u00fd v\u1ec1 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t.<\/p>\n<p>C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch s\u1ebd t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm c\u00e1c manh m\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh xem \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u2018\u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng mang t\u00ednh b\u1ea3o hi\u1ec3m\u2019 h\u01a1n l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 kh\u1edfi \u0111\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t chu k\u1ef3 th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd, trong khi Fed v\u1eabn cam k\u1ebft ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t.<\/p>\n<p>C\u00e1c th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u01b0a ra trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu Kho b\u1ea1c M\u1ef9 t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt l\u00ean m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t trong nhi\u1ec1u n\u0103m, khi cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t Trung \u0110\u00f4ng \u0111ang lan r\u1ed9ng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ea9y gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u t\u0103ng cao v\u00e0 l\u00e0m gia t\u0103ng lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t.<\/p>\n<p>K\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 m\u1ed9t tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang (Fed) di\u1ec1u h\u00e2u gi\u00fap gi\u1eef \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0110\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 (USD) g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t trong hai tu\u1ea7n so v\u1edbi s\u00e1u \u0111\u1ed1i th\u1ee7 ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a n\u00f3, trong khi l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu kho b\u1ea1c M\u1ef9 k\u1ef3 h\u1ea1n 10 n\u0103m chu\u1ea9n dao \u0111\u1ed9ng g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c quan tr\u1ecdng 5%.<\/p>\n<p>Nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 n\u00e0y ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c d\u1ea5y l\u00ean nghi ng\u1edd v\u1ec1 \u0111\u1ee3t ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i m\u1edbi nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a V\u00e0ng, v\u1ed1n ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i giao d\u1ecbch tr\u01b0\u1edbc k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a Fed.<\/p>\n<p>M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 v\u1eady, V\u00e0ng v\u1eabn ch\u1ecbu r\u1ee7i ro hai chi\u1ec1u, v\u1edbi hai k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng v\u1ec1 r\u1ee7i ro s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n c\u1ee7a Fed \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u00eau b\u1eadt d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y.<\/p>\n<p>N\u1ebfu Fed t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t th\u00eam 25 \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n, b\u00e1o hi\u1ec7u m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng n\u1eefa trong n\u0103m nay v\u00e0 Warsh nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t dai d\u1eb3ng, \u0111\u1ed3ng USD v\u00e0 l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu kho b\u1ea1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt, g\u00e2y th\u00eam \u00e1p l\u1ef1c m\u1edbi l\u00ean gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng.<\/p>\n<p>M\u1eb7t kh\u00e1c, n\u1ebfu Fed t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t nh\u01b0ng c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed3ng quan \u0111i\u1ec3m trong b\u1ecf phi\u1ebfu, \u0111\u01b0a ra bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 dot plot \u00f4n h\u00f2a h\u01a1n, ho\u1eb7c g\u1ecdi \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i n\u00e0y l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t b\u1ea3o hi\u1ec3m, \u0111\u1ed3ng USD c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 suy y\u1ebfu v\u00e0 V\u00e0ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i.<\/p>\n<p>C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ea1i ING nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh r\u1eb1ng \u201cph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn r\u1ee7i ro Fed gi\u1eef quan \u0111i\u1ec3m di\u1ec1u h\u00e2u d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh v\u00e0o gi\u00e1,\u201d nh\u01b0ng c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o r\u1eb1ng v\u00e0ng \u201cv\u1eabn c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1ec5 b\u1ecb t\u1ed5n th\u01b0\u01a1ng n\u1ebfu c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ho\u1ea1ch \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch b\u00e1o hi\u1ec7u l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t s\u1ebd duy tr\u00ec \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao trong th\u1eddi gian d\u00e0i h\u01a1n.\u201d \u0110\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi, h\u1ecd l\u1eadp lu\u1eadn r\u1eb1ng \u201cnh\u1eefng r\u1ee7i ro \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb dai d\u1eb3ng v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a gi\u00e1 n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u0103ng cao s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u1ea1o ra s\u1ef1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n,\u201d khi\u1ebfn kim lo\u1ea1i qu\u00fd n\u00e0y r\u01a1i v\u00e0o th\u1ebf k\u1eb9t gi\u1eefa k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng Fed th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch v\u00e0 nhu c\u1ea7u tr\u00fa \u1ea9n an to\u00e0n li\u00ean t\u1ee5c.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"390\" src=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/gold-chart-2026-09-16-1024x390.png\" alt=\"Gold Technical Analysis\" class=\"wp-image-24252\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/gold-chart-2026-09-16-1024x390.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/gold-chart-2026-09-16-300x114.png 300w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/gold-chart-2026-09-16-768x292.png 768w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/gold-chart-2026-09-16-1536x585.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/gold-chart-2026-09-16-18x7.png 18w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/gold-chart-2026-09-16.png 1647w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 767px) 89vw, (max-width: 1000px) 54vw, (max-width: 1071px) 543px, 580px\" \/><\/figure>\n<p>Tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y, XAU\/USD giao d\u1ecbch \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4.328,88, gi\u1eef v\u1eefng ngay quanh \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n (SMA) 100 ng\u00e0y g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c $4.330 trong khi v\u1eabn b\u1ecb k\u00ecm h\u00e3m b\u1edfi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 21 ng\u00e0y g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c $4.449,03. C\u1ea5u tr\u00fac n\u00e0y, v\u1edbi gi\u00e1 n\u1eb1m gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh trung h\u1ea1n v\u00e0 ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n c\u00f9ng Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 S\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh T\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i (RSI) dao \u0111\u1ed9ng quanh m\u1ee9c trung l\u1eadp 47, cho th\u1ea5y xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u00edch l\u0169y khi phe mua v\u00e0 phe b\u00e1n ch\u1edd \u0111\u1ee3i m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 b\u1ee9t ph\u00e1 \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u01b0\u1edbng r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n<p>\u1ede chi\u1ec1u t\u0103ng, kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 ban \u0111\u1ea7u xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 21 ng\u00e0y g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c $4.449, v\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 200 ng\u00e0y d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n \u1edf kho\u1ea3ng $4.540 \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 l\u00e0 r\u00e0o c\u1ea3n \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 h\u01a1n n\u1ebfu b\u00ean mua gi\u00e0nh l\u1ea1i quy\u1ec1n ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t. \u1ede chi\u1ec1u gi\u1ea3m, h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 t\u1ee9c th\u1eddi \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c cung c\u1ea5p b\u1edfi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 100 ng\u00e0y g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00f3 \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4.327, ti\u1ebfp theo l\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 50 ng\u00e0y \u1edf kho\u1ea3ng $4.281, n\u01a1i vi\u1ec7c ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi s\u1ebd b\u00e1o hi\u1ec7u m\u1ed9t giai \u0111o\u1ea1n \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh s\u00e2u h\u01a1n h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1edbi c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c \u0111\u00e1y tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gold briefly regains $4,300 early Wednesday, replicating Tuesday\u2019s Asian bounce. US Dollar consolidates at two-week highs as Treasury yields retreat and focus shifts to Fed. Gold defends key 50-day SMA at $4,280, while 100-day SMA near $4,330 caps upside amid bearish RSI. Gold\u00a0is attempting another run above $4,300 early Wednesday, replicating a tepid bounce seen &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.net\/vi\/daily-commentary-467-20260916\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u0110\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;XAU\/USD defends key $4,280 support ahead of Fed verdict&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":17233,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-24251","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-commentary"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24251","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=24251"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24251\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":24253,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24251\/revisions\/24253"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17233"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=24251"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=24251"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=24251"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}